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D.R. Horton signage stands in front of homes under construction at the Eastridge Woods development in Cottage Grove, Minnesota.
Daniel Acker | Bloomberg | Getty Images
D.R. Horton, America’s largest homebuilder, is leveraging artificial intelligence to accelerate construction and alleviate the nation’s persistent housing shortage. The company is partnering with Prophetic, an AI startup based in Portland, Oregon, to streamline land acquisition and development analysis.
The U.S. housing market continues to grapple with a structural deficit, estimated at roughly 4 million homes, stemming from chronic underbuilding since the Great Recession. This supply-demand imbalance has fueled a significant rise in housing prices, exceeding 50% above pre-pandemic levels, placing immense pressure on affordability.
Homebuilders are actively seeking solutions to ramp up production, but face considerable hurdles. Rising construction costs and the intricate, often protracted process of acquiring and developing suitable land present significant challenges to expanding housing supply.
“One of the largest challenges to providing affordable housing is the identification, acquisition and entitlement of land suitable for development. We are confident the insights provided by Prophetic are going to help us expand homeownership opportunities for hard-working American individuals and families,” said Jason Jones, VP data analytics at D.R. Horton.
Prophetic’s AI-native platform tackles these challenges head-on by automating and accelerating the land analysis process. The platform aggregates and analyzes zoning regulations from every city and county within a given state, providing developers with critical insights into development potential.
“It’s an incredibly large, tedious, detail-oriented process to take tens of thousands of these zoning documents and extract the rules, not only efficiently, but correctly,” explained Oliver Alexander, founder and CEO of Prophetic. The platform is currently operational in roughly half of the states and expects to be in all 50 by June.
The system analyzes critical factors such as minimum lot sizes, density regulations, and setback requirements, which vary significantly across municipalities and zoning districts. The platform also provides quarterly updates to zoning information, staying current with regulatory changes.
“Then it tells you where that information came from, which is the key differentiator,” Alexander clarified. “When you have that section title and the page that it came from, that builds trust, and then it becomes ultra-efficient, where you can analyze development potential in 30 seconds instead of two to three hours.”
Alexander emphasizes the sheer complexity of development regulations, noting that there are over 440,000 different ways to describe development allowances in the states Prophetic has analyzed. Developers must sift through this vast amount of information to determine the feasibility of building single- or multifamily housing projects.
Prophetic’s competitive advantage lies in its ability to leverage Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze these documents at scale. The platform combines this zoning AI with search, creating what Alexander calls “the major unlock”– a synergistic blend that enables developers to rapidly assess the feasibility of potential projects.
By drastically reducing the time required for land analysis, Prophetic empowers builders to make faster, more informed decisions, increasing their competitiveness in the land acquisition market. “If you have that much of an edge in your speed to decision, you effectively control your entire market, because before anyone else can decide, you’ve tied it up,” said Alexander.
The partnership between D.R. Horton and Prophetic represents a significant step towards leveraging AI to address the U.S. housing shortage. As AI technology continues to evolve, it promises to play an increasingly important role in streamlining construction processes, reducing costs, and ultimately, making housing more accessible to a wider range of Americans. The integration of AI in real estate development is not just about speed; it’s about strategic advantage, data-driven decisions, and a more efficient allocation of resources to meet the growing demand for housing.
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