Chip shortage

The global smartphone market faces its sharpest decline on record in 2026, with shipments expected to hit their lowest since 2013. This downturn is driven by a severe memory chip shortage, exacerbated by AI sector demand, which deprioritizes smartphone manufacturers. Component costs are rising, forcing price increases and potentially favoring mid- to high-end models. This situation may boost the used smartphone market and lead to longer replacement cycles, with a market inflection point anticipated in late 2027.

Xiaomi announced a HK$2.5 billion share buyback program, aiming to boost investor confidence amidst market challenges and competition. Despite a temporary stock increase, the company faces headwinds from a memory chip shortage impacting smartphone margins, scrutiny over EV accidents, and pressure on vehicle profitability. Xiaomi is also investing significantly in its semiconductor division and global EV expansion.

The Dutch government has suspended its intervention in Chinese-owned chipmaker Nexperia’s operations following constructive dialogues with China, potentially easing global chip shortage concerns. This move, seen as a show of goodwill, signals a potential de-escalation in trade tensions. China appears to be allowing European and other international companies to resume exporting Nexperia-manufactured chips. While this provides immediate relief to industries like automotive, underlying tensions regarding technology transfer and control persist, requiring a comprehensive framework for managing cross-border investments in sensitive technologies.