economic outlook

Despite November’s historical strength for equities, the first trading week saw the S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq decline, with the Nasdaq experiencing its largest weekly loss since April. Market anxieties shifted to AI stock valuations and capital concentration in tech giants, sparking correction concerns. Goldman Sachs anticipates a potential equity market drawdown. However, pullbacks are also seen as potential buying opportunities. China’s CPI rose, and the US averted a government shutdown, though the shutdown delayed a crucial jobs report. Oversold stocks and family office imposters were also noted.

White-collar layoffs are sweeping corporate America due to factors beyond just AI displacement. Amazon, UPS, and Target, collectively cutting over 60,000 jobs, cite corporate bloat, operational streamlining, and evolving business models as key drivers. While some companies openly attribute job cuts to AI implementation, experts suggest “AI-washing” may be masking underlying issues. Concerns about the economic outlook and a “bandwagon effect” contribute to the layoffs, impacting various sectors and raising questions about the labor market’s strength. Broader economic factors such as slowing sales, tariffs and inventory management issues also play a role.

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon expresses caution about the U.S. economy’s prospects, anticipating potential headwinds. He cites cooling effects after government stimuli, the impact of previous administrations policies, and concerns in the private credit sector. Dimon suggests a potential economic slowdown with rising inflation and acknowledges the complexity added by factors like reduced immigration. Despite resilient job growth, he advises businesses and investors to prepare for challenges.