semiconductors

The Dutch government seized control of Nexperia, a Netherlands-based chipmaker owned by China’s Wingtech, citing national security concerns, escalating geopolitical tensions. China responded with export controls on Nexperia products, threatening global automotive production due to reliance on these essential chips. Automakers warned of potential production cuts. Diplomatic efforts are underway, with possible exemptions to China’s export ban being considered, offering a glimmer of hope. The situation highlights the vulnerability of the semiconductor supply chain and growing scrutiny of Chinese-linked tech firms.

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang defends selling advanced semiconductors to China, citing mutual benefits despite national security concerns and U.S. export controls. He acknowledges China’s AI leadership and significant market potential, estimating it at $50 billion this year. Huang also highlights Huawei’s technological prowess, emphasizing that underestimating China’s capabilities would be “foolish”. He believes collaboration serves both countries’ interests amid rising tensions.

“Supply constrained” is a dominant theme this earnings season, indicating profit opportunities for involved companies. High demand in sectors like tech (Intel, Micron, AMD, Nvidia) and energy (GE Vernova) empowers firms to raise prices. Factors like AI’s demand and semiconductor production complexities drive shortages. Even Boeing faces production constraints. With this imbalance likely persisting, companies navigating supply limitations represent attractive investment opportunities. This situation could also improve the US trade deficit through exports.

Volkswagen is bracing for potential production disruptions due to China’s export restrictions on Nexperia semiconductors. While Nexperia doesn’t directly supply VW, its components are in modules from VW’s primary suppliers. The warning follows concerns from the German Association of the Automotive Industry (VDA). VW is working to mitigate risks, but short-term production effects are possible. The Dutch government’s intervention in Nexperia and China’s response highlight vulnerabilities in global supply chains and the need for domestic semiconductor investment. VW shares dipped following the announcement.

U.S. stocks rose Thursday, boosted by Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing’s (TSMC) optimistic revenue forecast, offsetting concerns about escalating U.S.-China trade tensions. TSMC’s strong earnings, driven by demand for AI-related high-performance computing, benefited Nvidia and Broadcom. Starbucks also gained on positive China valuation revisions, while Salesforce surged following a bullish analyst presentation highlighting AI integration and CRM market share growth.

Global semiconductor stocks surged after Nvidia announced a $100 billion investment in OpenAI, signaling a strong commitment to AI infrastructure. TSMC and SK Hynix saw significant gains. European markets mirrored the positive momentum, with STMicro and Infineon rising. However, ASM International’s revenue shortfall impacted other equipment manufacturers like ASML. Analysts remain bullish on the long-term outlook for chip equipment vendors due to strong demand for AI-related technologies.

China has reportedly expanded restrictions on Nvidia chips, impacting the RTX Pro 6000D AI chip in addition to the H20 GPU. This move signals growing confidence in China’s domestic semiconductor industry and a potential negotiation tactic with the U.S. Huawei is emerging as a domestic force with its Ascend chips. Experts view these actions as a strategic attempt to gain leverage in trade negotiations, influencing U.S. policy on export controls. The U.S. may re-evaluate its approach balancing security concerns with economic interests.

House Speaker Mike Johnson criticized China as an “adversary” after reports surfaced of Beijing instructing tech firms to stop buying Nvidia’s AI chips, including the RTX Pro 6000D. This move signals China’s growing confidence in its domestic semiconductor industry and its push for self-reliance, substituting Nvidia’s products with alternatives like Huawei’s Ascend 910B. Nvidia’s CEO expressed disappointment, and analysts note potential revenue losses for U.S. chipmakers, highlighting the escalating conflict over AI chip access. China’s strategy may aim to bolster its domestic AI chip development.

The U.S. government revoked TSMC’s export waiver (VEU status) for its Nanjing, China, facility, requiring individual licenses for U.S.-origin chipmaking equipment shipments. SK Hynix and Samsung also lost VEU privileges. This aims to close a “Biden-era loophole” on foreign-owned fabs in China and tighten control over technology flows, limiting China’s chip production capabilities and ability to expand their supply chain footprint. While TSMC anticipates limited financial impact, this move underscores a broader U.S. strategy to reshore manufacturing and restrict China’s semiconductor advancement.

Ambarella (AMBA) shares jumped 20% after Q2 earnings beat expectations. Adjusted earnings were 15 cents per share versus the expected 5 cents, with revenue at $96 million against the projected $90 million. The chip designer anticipates Q3 revenue between $100 million and $108 million, exceeding estimates. Ambarella also raised its fiscal year revenue growth outlook to 31-35%, driven by strong demand for its edge AI solutions in portable video, drones, and edge infrastructure. CEO Fermi Wang emphasized the company’s successful strategic investment in edge AI R&D.