Deloitte: Navigating AI’s Double-Edged Sword in Productivity

Deloitte’s UK CFO Survey reveals a strong pivot towards technology, particularly AI, for productivity and growth. CFOs anticipate significant tech investment increases, treating it as a structural rather than discretionary cost. AI optimism has surged, though risk appetite remains subdued, suggesting a preference for defined AI use cases and measurable outcomes. Despite growing confidence, external uncertainties and a cautious approach to capital expenditure persist, emphasizing the need for demonstrable business value in digital initiatives.

Deloitte’s latest UK CFO Survey paints an increasingly optimistic picture for large enterprises across the United Kingdom, highlighting a significant strategic pivot towards technology investment, with Artificial Intelligence at the forefront. While macroeconomic and geopolitical headwinds persist, the survey signals a clear convergence among boards, who increasingly view digital capabilities as the primary catalyst for enhanced productivity and sustained medium-term growth.

A standout finding is the robust commitment to technology spending. A substantial 96% of CFOs anticipate an increase in technology investment by UK companies over the next five years, with a remarkable 77% expecting this to translate into tangible improvements in productivity and overall business performance. This data is particularly noteworthy, suggesting that digital expenditure is no longer perceived as a discretionary or cyclical cost. Instead, it is increasingly treated as a structural investment, akin to capital expenditure in previous industrial eras. For IT leadership, this translates to the availability of sustained funding, but also elevates expectations for demonstrable delivery, seamless integration, and measurable returns on technological investments.

Artificial Intelligence has emerged as a central theme, capturing the attention and confidence of CFOs. The proportion of CFOs expressing increased optimism regarding AI’s potential to enhance organizational performance has surged to 59%, a significant leap from 39% in the third quarter of 2024. This is not a marginal shift, indicating that AI has transitioned from experimental curiosity to a mainstream driver of financial confidence. Crucially, the survey does not point to a corresponding increase in risk-taking appetite. While risk appetite has seen some improvement, it remains subdued at 15%, notably below the longer-term average of 25%. This dichotomy – confidence in AI coupled with continued balance-sheet caution – has profound implications for the governance and control of AI initiatives. Finance functions are likely to favor tightly defined use cases and rigorous productivity metrics over open-ended experimentation.

This evolving landscape reinforces the CFO’s role as a strategic steward of technology, moving beyond the traditional passive management of IT budgets. Finance chiefs are now actively shaping digital strategies, particularly concerning AI. The survey’s emphasis on productivity gains suggests a preference for AI applications that automate processes and enhance financial forecasting, rather than solely focusing on customer-facing innovations. Consequently, IT departments can expect heightened scrutiny of business cases, deeper collaboration with finance professionals, and a clear demand for translating technical advancements into quantifiable financial outcomes.

Despite the upward trend in sentiment, the survey also underscores persistent constraints. Business confidence, while improving from previous lows, remains in negative territory at a net -13%, below its historical average. Capital expenditure is a priority for many, yet only 17% of CFOs describe it as a “strong priority,” a figure only marginally above the long-term average. This suggests that while investment is being protected, it is not immune to scrutiny. Projects perceived as speculative, poorly governed, or inadequately aligned with productivity goals are unlikely to secure funding.

External uncertainty, though diminishing, continues to be a significant factor. A considerable 38% of CFOs still rate their uncertainty about the future as “high” or “very high.” Geopolitics remains the dominant risk, cited by 65% of respondents. UK competitiveness and productivity follow closely, with a historically high risk rating of 62%. In this environment, systemic resilience, data security, energy efficiency, and supply chain visibility are likely to command attention, alongside the overarching goal of achieving operational efficiencies through AI.

A subtle but important undercurrent in the survey is the human element in technology adoption. Deloitte acknowledges that the true value of AI is realized through the synergy of technology and human expertise, necessitating upskilling of the workforce. While not explicitly quantified in the survey data, this aligns with the prevailing theme of cautious optimism: CFOs are willing to invest, but not under the assumption that technology alone will deliver results. This strengthens the rationale for IT leadership to embed robust change management, comprehensive training programs, and rigorous governance frameworks into all new digital initiatives.

In conclusion, the Deloitte CFO Survey indicates a pragmatic and decisive shift among UK businesses towards technology-driven productivity. The findings strongly support sustained digital investment and a notable rise in confidence surrounding AI. This is tempered by continued caution regarding risk and an acknowledgment of the challenging external environment. For finance professionals, the imperative is to strategically allocate capital towards initiatives that demonstrably enhance performance. For IT teams, while opportunities are expanding, so too is accountability. Digital ambitions will likely be funded, but only when they can be clearly translated into credible, auditable business value.

Original article, Author: Samuel Thompson. If you wish to reprint this article, please indicate the source:https://aicnbc.com/15424.html

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