
Oracle CEO Clay Magouyrk, right, speaks on a media tour of the Stargate data center in Abilene, Texas, on Sept. 23, 2025.
Kyle Grillot | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Oracle has just weathered its most significant downturn on Wall Street in a quarter-century, as investor anxieties intensify regarding the software giant’s substantial debt burden and the viability of its high-stakes investment in artificial intelligence.
The company’s stock experienced a precipitous 19% decline this week, marking a consecutive five-day drop of at least 2.6%. This represents the sharpest weekly erosion in value since a 20% plunge in August 2001, a period synonymous with the dot-com bubble’s collapse.
The past nine months have proven particularly challenging for Oracle shareholders. After reaching a zenith market capitalization of $900 billion in September, fueled by nascent optimism surrounding Oracle’s burgeoning AI client base, the stock has shed approximately 55% of its value. At the heart of this predicament lies Oracle’s aggressive strategy to meet its AI infrastructure commitments, predominantly for OpenAI. This necessitates substantial debt acquisition, thereby introducing balance sheet risks while the company focuses on offerings with comparatively lower profit margins.
As of the end of May, Oracle carried approximately $130 billion in outstanding debt, with capital expenditures surging by 162% to nearly $56 billion in fiscal year 2026. The company is engaged in a high-stakes race to expand its data center footprint, competing directly with cloud behemoths like Amazon, Microsoft, and Google. However, unlike its rivals, Oracle is constrained by its inability to offer a comprehensive, integrated technology stack.
In its most recent fiscal year, Oracle reported a negative free cash flow of nearly $24 billion. Earlier this month, the company announced plans for fiscal year 2027 to secure $40 billion through a combination of debt and equity financing. This includes a previously disclosed $20 billion share sale, following $43 billion in debt issuances and $5 billion from equity offerings in the preceding fiscal year.
“We anticipate financing/leverage and the pace of equity issuance to remain the central investor debate in the near term, even as demand signals remain strong,” noted analysts from Evercore, who maintain a buy recommendation on the stock, in a report released on Wednesday.
Mirroring Evercore’s sentiment, a majority of financial firms continue to express bullish outlooks on Oracle’s future prospects, despite mounting investor unease. Data from FactSet indicates that 71% of analysts recommend purchasing Oracle stock, the highest proportion observed in 15 years.
Oracle did not respond to requests for comment.

Oracle is confronting a confluence of market challenges. Beyond its substantial capital expenditure requirements, the company’s stock performance has been impacted by a broader sell-off in software equities, as investors express concerns that advanced AI models could render many of their existing product capabilities obsolete. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector Exchange-Traded Fund (IGV) has declined 16% year-to-date in 2026, while Oracle’s shares have fallen 24%.
In its annual report released last week, Oracle disclosed a 13% reduction in its workforce, bringing the total employee count to 141,000 in fiscal year 2026. This reduction was particularly pronounced within its sales and marketing departments.
Larry Ellison, Oracle’s co-founder, was notably absent from the company’s earnings call this month. The responsibility of addressing investor queries fell upon dual CEOs Clay Magouyrk and Mike Sicilia, alongside the recently appointed Chief Financial Officer Hilary Maxson.
“Hilary has a tough life,” Magouyrk remarked during the call.
As a consequence of Oracle’s declining stock valuation, Ellison has been eclipsed on the global wealth rankings by figures such as Google co-founders Larry Page and Sergey Brin, Amazon founder Jeff Bezos, and Michael Dell. Despite this, Ellison’s net worth remains substantial, exceeding $200 billion.
Oracle remains committed to its expansion strategy, with plans to establish new data centers in Michigan, New Mexico, and Texas by 2027.
“As we pursue these opportunities, we will remain focused on disciplined capital allocation, maintaining a strong balance sheet, and preserving our investment-grade credit rating,” Maxson stated during the earnings call.

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