Oracle

Oracle’s stock fell 7% Friday after unveiling ambitious long-term, AI-driven financial projections at its AI World conference. While initial reactions were positive, analysts are scrutinizing the plausibility of Oracle’s forecast of $166B in cloud infrastructure revenue by fiscal year 2030. Despite securing significant AI chip deals, including with OpenAI, and reporting strong RPO growth, concerns remain about concentrating business and scaling infrastructure. Analysts are weighing the potential reward against risks, with some suggesting a “wait-and-see” approach.

Oracle’s shares rose after projecting significant revenue growth driven by AI infrastructure. The company forecasts $20 billion in AI-powered database revenue by fiscal year 2030, a substantial increase from previous estimates. Oracle secured $65 billion in new cloud infrastructure commitments this quarter, including a major deal with Meta. The company is expanding its cloud infrastructure, competing with Amazon and Google, and offers its database solutions on rival platforms. Oracle also secured a commitment from OpenAI valued at over $300 billion. They project adjusted earnings per share of $21 on $225 billion in revenue for fiscal 2030.

Oracle Cloud Infrastructure will deploy 50,000 AMD GPUs by late 2026, intensifying competition in cloud AI. AMD shares rose slightly on the news, while Oracle and Nvidia dipped. This reflects a trend of cloud providers diversifying GPU options beyond Nvidia, especially for AI inferencing. The partnership utilizes AMD’s Instinct MI450 chips for scalable AI computation. OpenAI is expanding its AMD infrastructure with a multi-year deal, potentially acquiring AMD shares. They also signed a $300 billion cloud agreement with Oracle, showing broader investment in diverse computing resources.

Oracle and NVIDIA are expanding their alliance to deliver enterprise AI solutions through tightly integrated hardware and software. The OCI Zettascale10, powered by NVIDIA GPUs and Spectrum-X Ethernet, offers 16 zettaflops of AI compute. Oracle AI Database 26ai introduces “AI for Data,” enabling AI agents within the database with features like Unified Hybrid Vector Search and quantum-resistant algorithms. NVIDIA’s software suite is integrated for streamlined AI workflows, including RAG implementation. The Oracle AI Data Platform and AI Hub democratize enterprise AI by simplifying deployment and management.

Oracle CEO Clay Magouyrk expressed confidence in OpenAI’s ability to afford its cloud infrastructure, citing its rapid user growth. This follows OpenAI’s $300B+ agreement with Oracle. Oracle is integrating OpenAI models into healthcare solutions, leveraging its Cerner acquisition. OpenAI, with 800 million weekly ChatGPT users, also partners with Broadcom for custom AI processors. While acknowledging power challenges, Oracle anticipates meeting the energy demands of AI expansion. The positive news led to a 5% rise in Oracle shares.

Oracle’s stock dipped 3% following a report highlighting lower-than-expected gross margins (14%) in its Nvidia-powered cloud division compared to its overall margin (70%). Despite this, Oracle’s cloud business is experiencing rapid growth, projecting $144 billion in revenue by 2030, fueled by projects like “Stargate” with OpenAI. The report raises concerns about the financial viability of Oracle’s AI cloud strategy given Nvidia GPU costs and competitive pricing, needing careful cost management for long-term profitability.

Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX are reportedly investing in TikTok’s U.S. operations, holding a combined 45% stake. ByteDance will retain 19.9%, with the remaining 35% distributed among existing and potentially new investors. This deal aims to address U.S. national security concerns that led to the divestiture mandate. The new TikTok USA will have a majority-American board, with Oracle overseeing security. The U.S. government will not take an equity stake. Existing ByteDance investors like Susquehanna and General Atlantic are expected to invest further.

Oracle appoints Clay Magouyrk and Mike Sicilia as co-CEOs, replacing Safra Catz who becomes executive vice chair. This move highlights Oracle’s focus on its cloud infrastructure amid the AI boom. Oracle benefits from its Gen2 platform, Nvidia GPUs, and strategic AI partnerships. Demand is strong, with Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) up 359%. Oracle’s stock has surged, reflecting investor confidence in its AI-driven strategy. The co-CEO structure aims to leverage technical expertise and industry knowledge for further growth.

President Trump extended ByteDance’s deadline to divest its U.S. TikTok operations to December 16th, marking the fourth extension. The deal, involving Oracle and Silver Lake, aims to address U.S. national security concerns. Treasury Secretary Bessent indicated a “framework deal” was reached, averting a potential TikTok ban. The proposed structure involves an investor consortium controlling 80% of TikTok’s U.S. business, possibly migrating users to a new application. Trump and Xi are scheduled to discuss the deal, emphasizing its high-level significance. Completion is anticipated within 30-45 days.

A framework agreement for TikTok, addressing data security concerns related to its Chinese parent company ByteDance, is nearing completion, potentially within 30-45 days. The restructuring will involve new investors alongside existing ByteDance stakeholders. Oracle’s cloud computing agreement with TikTok will remain intact, continuing its role in addressing U.S. security concerns through data management. Initial capital infusion is expected to be relatively small, focusing on restructuring rather than expansion, with no immediate plans for an IPO. The deal aims to alleviate national security and data privacy concerns.