GDP

Investors are watching several key market themes. Private credit’s landscape is evolving, with Blue Owl’s capital return strategy drawing attention but not signaling a systemic crisis. Slower Q4 GDP growth and persistent inflation present a challenge for the Fed. Texas Roadhouse faces cattle market pressures despite strong demand. Cybersecurity stocks, like CrowdStrike, are seeing valuation adjustments. GE Aerospace is strong, while pharma giants like Pfizer and Eli Lilly are focused on obesity treatments. Costco navigates tariffs, and Molson Coors faces lower guidance. Live entertainment, led by Live Nation, shows resilience, while BNPL sector challenges persist with Klarna’s weak results contrasted by Affirm’s appeal.

While AI has significantly influenced market valuations and investments, recent analyses suggest it’s not the sole driver of U.S. economic growth. Consumer spending remains the primary engine, contributing more to GDP than AI-related capital expenditures. After accounting for imports, AI’s net contribution to GDP is smaller than often perceived, highlighting the continued resilience of the U.S. consumer.