Stock market

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U.S. markets closed for Thanksgiving and are set to finish November in the red, ending a six‑month rally for the S&P 500 and Dow and a seven‑month gain for the Nasdaq, as higher‑for‑longer Fed rates, inflation worries, and a tech‑earnings divide weigh on stocks. Futures are flat, Asian markets are mixed, and the Nikkei rose on hot inflation data. Meanwhile, the U.S. will cut benefits for non‑citizens, South Korea sanctioned a Cambodian fraud group, and Russia signaled openness to peace talks. Europe’s strict AI regulations are creating niche opportunities in edge‑computing, secure‑cloud services, and green‑energy‑powered data centers, attracting investor capital.

Asian chip stocks declined following a drop in Nvidia’s stock, despite strong earnings. SoftBank, having recently sold its Nvidia shares, also saw a significant fall. Companies like SK Hynix, Samsung, and TSMC, key Nvidia suppliers and competitors, experienced declines. Factors contributing to the downturn include Bitcoin’s selloff, speculation regarding Fed interest rates, tightening financial conditions, and AI bubble concerns. The pullback highlights the interconnectedness and sensitivity of the semiconductor supply chain to major players like Nvidia.

Stocks slid amid concerns about earnings, economic data, and AI’s impact. Tech stocks led declines, with Nvidia, Dell, and HPE falling. Apple dipped despite Alphabet rising on Berkshire Hathaway’s investment. Bitcoin dropped below $90,000. Home Depot missed earnings expectations, citing consumer uncertainty. Kevin Hassett warned AI may slow hiring. Larry Summers distanced himself after Epstein emails surfaced. Panera Bread is attempting a turnaround with its “Panera RISE” strategy. Finally, Zillow faces antitrust scrutiny, despite its disruptive impact on the real estate market.

Yesterday’s market saw a broad decline, with the Nasdaq, Dow, S&P 500, and Russell 2000 all experiencing significant losses amid AI rally fatigue. Disney’s weak revenue and doubts about Oracle’s AI prospects contributed. Expectations for a Fed rate cut diminished. Consumer spending shows mixed signals, while housing faces potential distress. Labor disputes see Boeing workers ratifying a contract, and Starbucks baristas striking. Delivering Alpha insights revealed optimism about AI and concern about the IPO market.

U.S. markets experienced their worst day since October 10th, with the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all significantly declining. This downturn was driven by cooling AI sentiment, concerns about interest rate policies, and Oracle’s debt-financed AI ambitions. Investors are reassessing tech valuations and the financial commitments required for AI infrastructure. Uncertainty surrounds a potential December interest rate cut by the Fed, coupled with a lack of comprehensive October economic data, further complicating market sentiment. Oracle saw a significant value drop, raising questions about its AI investment sustainability.

The U.S. equity market shows a divergence, with the Dow reaching a record high driven by established industries like banking and healthcare, while the Nasdaq declined due to tech sector sensitivity. Anthropic plans a $50 billion U.S. AI infrastructure investment. Uncertainty surrounds the potential absence of U.S. jobs and inflation data. Private equity firms face challenges with underperforming “zombie companies” difficult to sell.

US equities rose amid optimism for a government shutdown resolution. The Nasdaq saw its biggest gain since May, driven by AI stocks. Bitcoin surged past $105,000. SoftBank reduced its chip sector exposure, focusing on OpenAI. Paramount Skydance announced cost cuts and layoffs. Air travel faced disruptions from the shutdown, and Warren Buffett plans to accelerate charitable giving, preparing Greg Abel for succession at Berkshire Hathaway.

November faced market headwinds despite its historical strength. The S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq all declined, with AI stock valuations under scrutiny. Concerns about a potential bubble are rising, echoed by DBS and Goldman Sachs. Conversely, analysts see market pullbacks as buying opportunities, while UBS notes reassuring earnings. China eased rare earth export restrictions and progressed on the Nexperia issue, and the U.S. government shutdown nears resolution. Finally, a global wealth boom is fueling a rise in family office imposters preying on investors.

Despite November’s historical strength for equities, the first trading week saw the S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq decline, with the Nasdaq experiencing its largest weekly loss since April. Market anxieties shifted to AI stock valuations and capital concentration in tech giants, sparking correction concerns. Goldman Sachs anticipates a potential equity market drawdown. However, pullbacks are also seen as potential buying opportunities. China’s CPI rose, and the US averted a government shutdown, though the shutdown delayed a crucial jobs report. Oversold stocks and family office imposters were also noted.

Recent equity market pullback, especially in AI stocks, has sparked valuation and contagion concerns. Warnings about a potential market drawdown are increasing. BOE Governor Bailey cautioned about an AI bubble and speculative risks. Despite this, data center construction remains strong, and some see buying opportunities in tech. However, SoftBank’s losses and Michael Burry’s short positions signal waning AI appetite. Strategists suggest caution on US equities, favoring emerging markets benefiting from AI.