US Economy
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AI Not the Top U.S. Economic Growth Driver in 2025
While AI has significantly influenced market valuations and investments, recent analyses suggest it’s not the sole driver of U.S. economic growth. Consumer spending remains the primary engine, contributing more to GDP than AI-related capital expenditures. After accounting for imports, AI’s net contribution to GDP is smaller than often perceived, highlighting the continued resilience of the U.S. consumer.
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Trump’s Economic Legacy
This report highlights increasing government influence in the U.S. economy, exemplified by Trump’s pardon of Binance’s founder and the government’s equity stake in Intel. These actions raise concerns about potential conflicts of interest, market distortion, and fair competition. Trade tensions with Canada have escalated, while China expresses a conciliatory tone ahead of a potential Trump-Xi meeting. U.S. stocks are up, driven by tech, and dividend stocks are gaining appeal as interest rates are projected to decline.