Valuation

Recent equity market pullback, especially in AI stocks, has sparked valuation and contagion concerns. Warnings about a potential market drawdown are increasing. BOE Governor Bailey cautioned about an AI bubble and speculative risks. Despite this, data center construction remains strong, and some see buying opportunities in tech. However, SoftBank’s losses and Michael Burry’s short positions signal waning AI appetite. Strategists suggest caution on US equities, favoring emerging markets benefiting from AI.

Jim Cramer of CNBC argues that Wall Street’s focus on the valuations of select high-growth tech stocks, especially in AI, obscures broader market opportunities. He cites Palantir’s recent decline despite strong earnings as an example of investors overly targeting speculative stocks due to market expensiveness concerns. Cramer suggests overlooking the potential of other stocks with reasonable valuations is a mistake, and urges investors to examine individual company fundamentals and growth prospects instead of dismissing entire sectors. He believes Palantir’s situation might just be a need for the stock to “cool off.”

Cybersecurity startup Armis, specializing in connected device security, raised $435 million, valuing the company at $6.1 billion. Led by Goldman Sachs Alternatives, the funding will fuel growth and address the increasing demand for IoT, OT, and medical device security. Armis’ platform helps organizations discover, secure, and manage connected devices, providing threat detection and mitigation. CEO Yevgeny Dibrov sees Goldman Sachs as an ideal partner for a future IPO, targeted for late 2026 or early 2027, with a near-term goal of reaching $1 billion in ARR.

Navan, formerly TripActions, a corporate travel and expense management platform, went public on Nasdaq (NAVN) with a $6.2 billion valuation following a $923 million IPO. Shares dipped 20% despite pricing at $25, the midpoint of its range, which was lower than its $9.2 billion 2022 private valuation. Navan distinguishes itself with AI integration and a focus on traveler experience, boasting clients like Geico and OpenAI. It reported strong revenue growth but also a recent quarterly net loss, making profitability a key focus.

The article explores the debate on whether the current surge in AI investment constitutes a bubble, drawing parallels to the dot-com era and the 2008 financial crisis. While giants pour billions into AI infrastructure, some experts argue it’s a legitimate technological shift, while others point to inflated valuations and unsustainable spending. Leading figures like Anneka Treon, Jared Bernstein, and Pat Gelsinger offer contrasting views on the financial health and future of the AI market, highlighting both opportunities and risks.

OpenAI completed a $6.6 billion secondary share sale, valuing the company at $500 billion, a record for an AI firm. The sale, involving Thrive Capital, SoftBank, and others, allowed current and former employees to liquidate equity. While OpenAI authorized a larger sale, less than anticipated shares changed hands, seen as a sign of investor confidence. This follows a previous $1.5 billion deal and positions OpenAI as the most valuable private company, surpassing SpaceX. The sale aids employee retention amidst intense AI talent competition.

Checkout.com, a fintech firm, is offering employees a share buyback program based on a $12 billion internal valuation, a decrease from its $40 billion valuation in 2022. This allows employees to monetize equity amidst a challenging IPO market. The company, which competes with Stripe and Adyen, facilitates billions in transactions for clients like Coinbase and H&M. Checkout.com projects 30% revenue growth and $300 billion in payment volume, focusing on AI and agentic commerce. This follows similar moves by Stripe and Revolut, providing liquidity in a volatile market.

Tether is reportedly exploring a capital raise of $15-$20 billion through private placement, potentially valuing the stablecoin giant at $500 billion. This move would place Tether among the world’s most valuable private companies, rivaling OpenAI and SpaceX. The company aims to use the capital to diversify reserves, enhance transparency, and solidify its market dominance amid increasing regulatory scrutiny and competition. This comes as Tether expands its presence in the U.S. with a new stablecoin, USAT, targeting institutional clients. The outcome could reshape the stablecoin market.

Bret Taylor’s AI startup, Sierra, achieved unicorn status with a $350 million funding round, valuing it at $10 billion. Sierra joins a select group of AI companies exceeding this valuation, fueled by investor enthusiasm. Founded in 2023, Sierra focuses on AI agents for customer service, claiming to assist millions with diverse tasks. The funding, led by Greenoaks, will support platform development, infrastructure scaling, and R&D. This follows Anthropic’s recent funding and highlights the intense AI investment landscape, emphasizing ethical AI development for long-term success.

OpenAI is expanding its secondary share sale to approximately $10.3 billion, up from the initially planned $6 billion, valuing the AI firm at $500 billion. This provides current and former employees a chance to liquidate equity. Key investors include SoftBank, Dragoneer, and T. Rowe Price. The move gives OpenAI flexibility to invest in R&D, scale infrastructure, and attract talent, while avoiding the pressures of an immediate IPO. This increased sale reflects confidence in OpenAI’s long-term prospects and validates its leading position in generative AI.