Tobias

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose on Friday, boosted by strong Big Tech earnings, notably Amazon’s AWS growth. Apple’s service revenue also propelled optimism, though caution remains. Nike and Boeing are viewed as potential turnaround stories, overcoming supply chain issues/737 MAX crisis respectively. Investors are also tracking Chevron (energy sector), Reddit (social media growth), and Netflix (streaming competition). Next week’s focus shifts to earnings from companies like Eaton.

Amazon shares soared after a strong Q3 earnings report, driven by a resurgent Amazon Web Services (AWS). AWS revenue grew 20% year-over-year, exceeding expectations and signaling successful capitalization on AI demand. CEO Jassy’s confident outlook alleviated investor concerns about competition from Azure and Google Cloud. AWS’s robust $200 billion backlog and increased capital expenditure, particularly in AI infrastructure, position it for sustained market leadership as AI workloads drive future cloud spending.

Elon Musk addressed the long-delayed Tesla Roadster, aiming for an unveiling “hopefully before the end of the year,” after OpenAI CEO Sam Altman publicly expressed frustration with his long-standing reservation. Altman’s experience highlights growing impatience surrounding the car. Observers suggest Altman’s complaint prompted Musk’s comments. The Roadster, planned as a high-performance EV, aims to reclaim performance benchmarks amid competition. This news coincides with a crucial shareholder vote on Musk’s substantial pay package, marking a pivotal moment for Tesla.

Razer CEO Min-Liang Tan believes AI will revolutionize gaming, impacting players, developers, and the industry’s economic landscape. Razer is developing AI tools like Game Co-AI for personalized player guidance and an AI QA Companion for automated bug detection, potentially saving time and resources in development. While some are skeptical about AI’s creative capabilities in game development, Tan envisions AI empowering smaller teams to create compelling games by automating tedious tasks and even spawning new industries. He emphasizes AI’s role in training esports professionals and foresees major hit games built with AI.

The markets experienced volatility due to geopolitical events, economic data, and Big Tech earnings. Trump and Xi agreed on rare earths, trade, and fentanyl. The Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points but tempered expectations for future cuts. Alphabet, Meta, and Microsoft beat earnings estimates, signaling increased capital expenditure driven by AI demand, alleviating fears of a dot-com bubble. Trump’s rare earth deals aim to challenge China’s dominance but face significant hurdles.

Key market takeaways include divergent reactions to earnings from the “Magnificent Seven” tech stocks (Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta), a cautious Fed rate cut, and a potential US-China trade compromise involving tariffs, fentanyl, and rare earth minerals. Chipotle faces challenges, while Restaurant Brands shines. Comcast’s earnings exceeded expectations amid speculation of a Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition, pending regulatory approval. Focus remains on Apple and Amazon’s upcoming reports for further tech sector insights.

Venture capitalist Oren Zeev’s early “relationship investment” of $50,000 in a nascent startup led to StreamOnce, later acquired by Jive Software. This initial bet paved the way for Navan (formerly TripActions), a business travel platform poised for an IPO valuing it at over $6 billion, potentially yielding Zeev over $1 billion. Zeev’s success stems from a gut-feeling investment approach. He operates as a solo GP, making quick decisions and valuing founder relationships. His strategy, including reinvesting management fees, aligns him with LPs.

Meta Platforms’ stock plummeted despite a strong earnings report, triggered by investor apprehension over escalating AI spending. The company revised its 2025 capital expenditure forecast upwards to $70-72 billion, signaling an intensified pursuit of advanced AI technologies. CEO Zuckerberg defended the aggressive investment, emphasizing early returns and Meta’s ambition to build capacity for “superintelligence.” The increased spending reflects a broader industry trend, with Alphabet and Microsoft also increasing their capital expenditure projections. Meta invested heavily in AI startup Scale AI, and secured new cloud computing agreements. A $15.93 billion tax charge also impacted earnings.

Alphabet’s Q3 earnings report exceeded expectations, sending shares up 4%. Revenue hit $102.35 billion, a first for the company. Increased capital expenditure, now projected at $91-93 billion, reflects investment in AI infrastructure and Google Cloud’s growth. Google Cloud backlog reached $155 billion. Analysts see Alphabet addressing AI concerns and revised price targets upwards, with Goldman Sachs setting a $330 target and JPMorgan $340, highlighting confidence in Alphabet’s execution and AI’s positive impact on Google Search revenue.

Venture capitalist Joe Lonsdale argues that leading AI companies are understating the capital and energy resources needed to realize their ambitions, potentially misleading investors. He believes this underestimation necessitates frequent capital raises. Lonsdale’s comments come amidst an AI investment surge and warnings of a potential bubble. He suggests current spending is being underestimated and favors AI applications demonstrating clear economic value, questioning the long-term sustainability of the current AI investment trajectory.