Capital Expenditure

HSBC CEO Georges Elhedery and General Atlantic CEO William Ford addressed concerns about the disconnect between massive AI infrastructure investments and revenue growth at a Hong Kong summit. While acknowledging AI’s transformative potential, they cautioned that significant productivity gains and consumer willingness to pay for AI-driven services are longer-term prospects, potentially lagging behind investor expectations. Ford compared AI to railroads and electricity, technologies with profound impacts realized over extended periods, highlighting the need for patience and awareness of early-stage pitfalls like capital misallocation.

Tech giants like Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft, and Amazon are significantly increasing AI investments, projecting over $380 billion in combined capital expenditures. This shift aims to meet surging demand for AI services, driven by advancements in generative AI and machine learning. While Amazon and Alphabet saw positive investor response, Microsoft’s shares dipped slightly, and Meta’s plummeted due to unease regarding its AI strategy and revenue prospects. Concerns remain about a potential AI bubble and the long-term sustainability of these massive investments.

Meta Platforms’ stock plummeted despite a strong earnings report, triggered by investor apprehension over escalating AI spending. The company revised its 2025 capital expenditure forecast upwards to $70-72 billion, signaling an intensified pursuit of advanced AI technologies. CEO Zuckerberg defended the aggressive investment, emphasizing early returns and Meta’s ambition to build capacity for “superintelligence.” The increased spending reflects a broader industry trend, with Alphabet and Microsoft also increasing their capital expenditure projections. Meta invested heavily in AI startup Scale AI, and secured new cloud computing agreements. A $15.93 billion tax charge also impacted earnings.

Alphabet’s Q3 earnings report exceeded expectations, sending shares up 4%. Revenue hit $102.35 billion, a first for the company. Increased capital expenditure, now projected at $91-93 billion, reflects investment in AI infrastructure and Google Cloud’s growth. Google Cloud backlog reached $155 billion. Analysts see Alphabet addressing AI concerns and revised price targets upwards, with Goldman Sachs setting a $330 target and JPMorgan $340, highlighting confidence in Alphabet’s execution and AI’s positive impact on Google Search revenue.

Venture capitalist Joe Lonsdale argues that leading AI companies are understating the capital and energy resources needed to realize their ambitions, potentially misleading investors. He believes this underestimation necessitates frequent capital raises. Lonsdale’s comments come amidst an AI investment surge and warnings of a potential bubble. He suggests current spending is being underestimated and favors AI applications demonstrating clear economic value, questioning the long-term sustainability of the current AI investment trajectory.

While tech giants aggressively invest in AI data centers, Apple employs a “hybrid” strategy, blending internal infrastructure (“Private Cloud Compute”) with third-party resources. CFO Kevan Parekh highlights this balanced approach, prioritizing scalability and data privacy. Though Apple’s capital expenditure is increasing (projected $14.3 billion this year), it’s comparatively restrained. Apple Intelligence, utilizing proprietary chips, influences purchasing decisions. Operating expenses, driven by R&D, also reflect AI investments. Apple remains optimistic about future AI impacts, projecting sales growth despite concerns surrounding its unique AI strategy.

Alphabet’s Q3 earnings exceeded expectations, driving shares up 5% after-hours. Revenue reached $102.35 billion, with EPS at $3.10. Google Cloud’s revenue grew 35% to $15.15 billion, fueled by AI demand. Alphabet is increasing 2025 capital expenditure to $91-93 billion. YouTube ad revenue hit $10.26 billion, and overall ad revenue was $74.18 billion. Net income surged to $34.97 billion, despite a $3.45 billion EU antitrust fine. Cloud customer base growth is high, and AI product use is increasing.

Alphabet (GOOG) plans a significant increase in capital expenditure in 2026, driven by soaring AI demand and a large customer backlog. This follows a strong Q3, exceeding $100 billion in revenue. 2025 capital expenditure is projected at $91-$93 billion, up from previous forecasts, to expand data centers and AI infrastructure. Google Cloud’s backlog grew 46% quarter-over-quarter. The company is also using AI to enhance its search business, with AI Mode gaining considerable traction among users. Meta is similarly increasing its capital expenditure, highlighting industry-wide AI investment.

Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg is doubling down on AI, allocating $14.3 billion to Scale AI and restructuring Superintelligence Labs. This significant capital expenditure fuels Meta’s AI capabilities and data center expansion, partnering with Oracle, Google, and CoreWeave. While Meta projects long-term returns, analysts express concerns about escalating AI spending and a potential valuation bubble. Despite increased capital expenditure guidance, market reaction was mixed, with some uncertainty about profitability and returns. Meta’s revenue growth, driven by AI, supports its confident investment strategy.

Meta (META) shares were volatile after Q3 results, despite exceeding revenue expectations with a 26% YoY increase to $51.24B. While EPS beat estimates, a $16B tax charge and increased capex guidance for AI investments in 2026 concerned investors. Meta emphasized the strategic importance of AI for advertising and future opportunities, citing strong user engagement and monetization. Q4 revenue is projected at $56B-$59B, with increased spending expected.